MoneyBall for Startups: Invest BEFORE Product/Market Fit, Double-Down AFTER. (Dave/Master of 500 Hats)

Dave / Master of 500 Hats:
MoneyBall for Startups: Invest BEFORE Product/Market Fit, Double-Down AFTER.  —  My apologies… this is a long piece (~2500 words).  Not for the faint of heart.  If you want the short story, read the abstract below & 3 core assumptions, then cut to the conclusions at the bottom.
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